What to Decide Before Backtesting: Questions and Rules for U.S. ETF Quant Research
Set the research question, trading rules, baselines, and time splits before a first U.S. ETF study. Record the experiment contract before seeing results.
Follow the design and documentation of a small quant research project, from data quality and timing rules to backtest accounting and model comparisons.
Set the research question, trading rules, baselines, and time splits before a first U.S. ETF study. Record the experiment contract before seeing results.
Plan access terms, price definitions, raw-data preservation, and quality checks before acquiring U.S. ETF data, including missing values and adjusted prices.
Separate signal, execution, return, and label timing. Use synthetic unit tests to check information leakage and preprocessing boundaries.
Check holdings, cash, and ending values for buy-and-hold and momentum using three synthetic assets, establishing accounting rules before market testing.
Use a synthetic portfolio to check transaction-cost accounting and distinguish what ending returns, turnover, and maximum drawdown reveal.
Define timing, data splits, retraining, and cost rules for a fair comparison of logistic regression and baseline strategies, before testing actual performance.